*To see this with sample code, check out my Kaggle notebook.
Like Simple Linear Regression, multiple regression is a “supervised” “regression” algorithm.
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Supervised meaning we use labeled data to train the model.
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Regression meaning we predict a numerical value, instead of a “class”.
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However, we now have multiple independent variables that impact the dependent variable.
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Least Squares is still used, but instead of fitting a line to the data, we fit a (n-1) dimensional plane. (Ex: 3D data -> 2D plane.)
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Before applying Multiple Regression, we must test 4 specific assumptions, which can be done with any statistical software.
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Next, we must select our independent variables; maximizing the accuracy while minimizing the number of variables used. This balance is called “parsimony”.
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There are multiple approaches to making this decision, such as “backward elimination” and “forward selection”.
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Once we’ve completed the regression, we evaluate the fit with the “R^2 score” which tells us how closely our prediction matched the data.
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We use an “F-test” to find the “p-value” which tells us the probability that our observations are due only to chance. Typically, the findings are “significant” if p < 5%.
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Overall, Multiple Regression is very applicable to real world problems, however, practitioners must test the assumptions and apply parsimony for valid conclusions to be made.